TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Ceban and Mika Petkovic in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mark Ceban' if Mark Ceban advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Mark Ceban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Ceban and Mika Petkovic in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mark Ceban' if Mark Ceban advances against Mika Petkovic. This market will resolve to 'Mika Petkovic' if Mika Petkovic advances against Mark Ceban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result, the prediction market may show a different likelihood. It's valuable to compare the two to see where discrepancies exist and understand differing perspectives on the Ceban vs Petkovic match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ceban vs Petkovic match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares indicating they believe an outcome is likely, the price of those shares increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Ceban vs Petkovic match, as reported by a trusted source for professional tennis results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome is considered correct for the purposes of settling this market.
Several signals could influence this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Mark Ceban or Mika Petkovic, or changes in playing conditions could all shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about their coaching staff or training regimes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public analysis from tennis experts and any shifts in betting lines at sportsbooks could also contribute to movement in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.