TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mae Malige and Roan Jones in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mae Malige' if Mae Malige advances against Roan Jones. This market will resolve to 'Roan Jones' if Roan Jones advances against Mae Malige. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mae Malige and Roan Jones in the M25 Sheffield, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mae Malige' if Mae Malige advances against Roan Jones. This market will resolve to 'Roan Jones' if Roan Jones advances against Mae Malige. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the event's potential results. The market’s price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with higher demand driving up prices and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Sheffield M25 match. The winner of the boxing match, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result, as that will be used to settle the market.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before its resolution. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their trainers, changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks, and even social media sentiment could all act as catalysts. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as a change in venue or rules, could also cause the market to react and adjust its pricing.