TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Conor Brady and William Nolan in the M25 Sheffield, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Brady' if Conor Brady advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Conor Brady. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Conor Brady and William Nolan in the M25 Sheffield, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Conor Brady' if Conor Brady advances against William Nolan. This market will resolve to 'William Nolan' if William Nolan advances against Conor Brady. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as traders have a financial incentive to be correct. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and vice-versa.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or predetermined values. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sheffield match between Conor Brady and William Nolan. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those who held shares in the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of Conor Brady or William Nolan, such as injuries or illness, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected changes in form or recent match results for either competitor could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by traders’ willingness to buy or sell shares. Major upsets in related matches could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities.