TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:37 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Hugo Pierre in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Hugo Pierre. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Pierre' if Hugo Pierre advances against Thomas Gerbaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Hugo Pierre in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Hugo Pierre. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Pierre' if Hugo Pierre advances against Thomas Gerbaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or new information emerges that isn’t yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point that represents the collective prediction. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for shares related to the Sarreguemines tennis match, and is not influenced by external factors.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Thomas Gerbaud and Hugo Pierre. The platform will verify the winner through widely available sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 26, 2026 resolution of the Sarreguemines tennis match.