TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Arthur Nagel in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Arthur Nagel. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Nagel' if Arthur Nagel advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Arthur Nagel in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Arthur Nagel. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Nagel' if Arthur Nagel advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, and they can sometimes offer more favorable odds, depending on the event and public perception.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Philip Henning and Arthur Nagel. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting from reputable sports news sources. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match, as recorded by the tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or surface conditions might also cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches involving these players leading up to the event could affect confidence levels. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any late-breaking news related to the players’ preparation could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.