TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Octave Caillat and Timeo Trufelli in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Octave Caillat' if Octave Caillat advances against Timeo Trufelli. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Octave Caillat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Octave Caillat and Timeo Trufelli in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Octave Caillat' if Octave Caillat advances against Timeo Trufelli. This market will resolve to 'Timeo Trufelli' if Timeo Trufelli advances against Octave Caillat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in events where public perception differs from expert opinion. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, and can demonstrate how public sentiment impacts pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Octave Caillat and Timeo Trufelli. Verification will rely on widely accepted sources for tennis match results, ensuring a transparent and reliable determination of the winning player. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Public endorsements or analysis from respected tennis commentators could also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market, leading to price adjustments until the event concludes.