TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 7:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Visker and Arthur Bouquier in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels Visker' if Niels Visker advances against Arthur Bouquier. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Bouquier' if Arthur Bouquier advances against Niels Visker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Niels Visker and Arthur Bouquier in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Niels Visker' if Niels Visker advances against Arthur Bouquier. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Bouquier' if Arthur Bouquier advances against Niels Visker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessment, or simply varying opinions about the players' chances. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability as the event approaches, but differences can persist, offering potential value for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Niels Visker and Arthur Bouquier, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.