TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mickael Kaouk and Daniel Masur in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Mickael Kaouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mickael Kaouk and Daniel Masur in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mickael Kaouk' if Mickael Kaouk advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Mickael Kaouk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Mickael Kaouk and Daniel Masur. This includes verifying the winner as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly, based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics for either Mickael Kaouk or Daniel Masur could trigger significant movement. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this event might also affect perceived probabilities. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in market sentiment, potentially causing the price to change rapidly before Oct 28, 2026.