TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 3:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Marterer and Tom Paris in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Marterer' if Maximilian Marterer advances against Tom Paris. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Maximilian Marterer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maximilian Marterer and Tom Paris in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximilian Marterer' if Maximilian Marterer advances against Tom Paris. This market will resolve to 'Tom Paris' if Tom Paris advances against Maximilian Marterer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes that diverge from initial sportsbook expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning the Sarreguemines tennis match. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as correct predictions yield profits.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Maximilian Marterer and Tom Paris. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, potentially causing a significant price movement in this market.