TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Waring and Nicola Senn in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Waring' if Matteo Waring advances against Nicola Senn. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Senn' if Nicola Senn advances against Matteo Waring. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Waring and Nicola Senn in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Waring' if Matteo Waring advances against Nicola Senn. This market will resolve to 'Nicola Senn' if Nicola Senn advances against Matteo Waring. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can trade accordingly on Polymarket, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can create opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Matteo Waring and Nicola Senn. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized and the results are officially reported.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, such as injuries or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over the other. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the players' chances could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.