TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin SIMON and Florent Lagarrigue in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin SIMON' if Martin SIMON advances against Florent Lagarrigue. This market will resolve to 'Florent Lagarrigue' if Florent Lagarrigue advances against Martin SIMON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin SIMON and Florent Lagarrigue in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin SIMON' if Martin SIMON advances against Florent Lagarrigue. This market will resolve to 'Florent Lagarrigue' if Florent Lagarrigue advances against Martin SIMON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there's value, or where sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable part of your research process.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. This dynamic pricing allows the market to reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the Sarreguemines tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Martin SIMON and Florent Lagarrigue. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available and verifiable data. The final result will be used to determine which shares payout and at what value, based on the price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 25, 2026.