TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elijah Sanogo and Andre Megrabian in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elijah Sanogo' if Elijah Sanogo advances against Andre Megrabian. This market will resolve to 'Andre Megrabian' if Andre Megrabian advances against Elijah Sanogo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elijah Sanogo and Andre Megrabian in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elijah Sanogo' if Elijah Sanogo advances against Andre Megrabian. This market will resolve to 'Andre Megrabian' if Andre Megrabian advances against Elijah Sanogo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly when there's significant public interest or debate surrounding an event. Examining these differences can be insightful, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, driven by the informed speculation of traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sanogo vs Megrabian match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or scheduling changes could also have an impact. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage surrounding the players and the match itself can all contribute to fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.