TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Christian Djonov and Calvin Mueller in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christian Djonov' if Christian Djonov advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Christian Djonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Christian Djonov and Calvin Mueller in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christian Djonov' if Christian Djonov advances against Calvin Mueller. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Mueller' if Calvin Mueller advances against Christian Djonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals making their own predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players or conditions impacting the Sarreguemines tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. This allows traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the result of the Sarreguemines tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the Sarreguemines tennis match will be determined based on the official result as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the resolution date.