TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amaury Raynel and Thomas Gerbaud in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amaury Raynel' if Amaury Raynel advances against Thomas Gerbaud. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Amaury Raynel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amaury Raynel and Thomas Gerbaud in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amaury Raynel' if Amaury Raynel advances against Thomas Gerbaud. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Gerbaud' if Thomas Gerbaud advances against Amaury Raynel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their view, and the odds move based on actual money being wagered. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Amaury Raynel and Thomas Gerbaud. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the winning share. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one player – would likely cause the odds to move. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing betting patterns will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 25, 2026.