TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 7:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Martin Riu in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Martin Riu. This market will resolve to 'Martin Riu' if Martin Riu advances against Adrien Gobat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Martin Riu in the M25 Sarreguemines, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Martin Riu. This market will resolve to 'Martin Riu' if Martin Riu advances against Adrien Gobat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individual predictions and real-money incentives. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into how the crowd views the probability of various results in the Gobat vs Riu match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Gobat vs Riu match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Sarreguemines match between Adrien Gobat and Martin Riu, as reported by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their winnings based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert opinions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.