TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Masur in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Adrien Gobat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Masur in the M25 Sarreguemines, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Daniel Masur. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Masur' if Daniel Masur advances against Adrien Gobat. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the two. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and react to news more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in dynamic situations. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sarreguemines tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe Adrien Gobat will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa for Daniel Masur. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market, offering a real-time assessment of the probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarreguemines tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Daniel Masur, as determined by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting an outdoor court), or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their conviction about the likely winner of the Sarreguemines tennis match.