TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Bracci and Nicolas Ifi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Nicolas Ifi. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ifi' if Nicolas Ifi advances against Valerio Bracci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Bracci and Nicolas Ifi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Nicolas Ifi. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Ifi' if Nicolas Ifi advances against Valerio Bracci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence. This dynamic pricing system allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Bracci vs Ifi match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bracci vs Ifi match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. It's important to monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to ensure you are aware of any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public statements from players or analysts, as well as any external factors impacting the match conditions, could also play a role. A strong showing by either Valerio Bracci or Nicolas Ifi in a preceding event would likely cause a substantial movement in the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts.