TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Bracci and Gabriele Bosio in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Gabriele Bosio. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Valerio Bracci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Bracci and Gabriele Bosio in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Gabriele Bosio. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Bosio' if Gabriele Bosio advances against Valerio Bracci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how public sentiment differs from professional oddsmakers. Often, prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as an event approaches. However, sportsbooks have sophisticated models and risk management strategies. Discrepancies between this market and sportsbook odds can arise from differing opinions on the relative strengths of Valerio Bracci and Gabriele Bosio, or from variations in how each assesses potential upsets or unexpected outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Valerio Bracci and Gabriele Bosio. Any official announcements regarding the match’s completion and the declared winner will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Valerio Bracci or Gabriele Bosio, such as injuries or illness, would likely impact the odds. Changes in their recent performance or tactical adjustments could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from respected tennis commentators or analysts could shift expectations and affect the volume traded in this market. Public perception of each player’s chances, as reflected in social media or other online forums, could also play a role.