TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Martin and Filippo Giovannini in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Filippo Giovannini. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Giovannini' if Filippo Giovannini advances against Toby Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Martin and Filippo Giovannini in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Martin' if Toby Martin advances against Filippo Giovannini. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Giovannini' if Filippo Giovannini advances against Toby Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly translates to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Toby Martin and Filippo Giovannini. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning player and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements from the tournament organizers for the definitive outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also impact the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tournaments or matches involving these players could influence trader sentiment. Monitoring tennis news and analysis, as well as observing trading volume on Polymarket, will provide insights into potential catalysts for price movement.