TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright
polymarket

What is the result of Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright?

Volume:
N/A

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

 - Polymarket

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 2:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Michael Wright Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Michael Wright in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Michael Wright. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wright' if Michael Wright advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Michael Wright in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini' if Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini advances against Michael Wright. This market will resolve to 'Michael Wright' if Michael Wright advances against Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully reflected in traditional betting markets. It’s important to note that prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event date as more information becomes available.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders involved, creating a probabilistic forecast for the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Michael Wright. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.

Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis or specific insights into the players' strategies could emerge, causing traders to reassess their probabilities. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.