TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Rares Teodor Pieleanu vs Pierluigi Basile
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Rares Teodor Pieleanu vs Pierluigi Basile - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Closed: Oct 13, 10:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rares Teodor Pieleanu and Pierluigi Basile in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rares Teodor Pieleanu' if Rares Teodor Pieleanu advances against Pierluigi Basile. This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against Rares Teodor Pieleanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rares Teodor Pieleanu and Pierluigi Basile in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rares Teodor Pieleanu' if Rares Teodor Pieleanu advances against Pierluigi Basile. This market will resolve to 'Pierluigi Basile' if Pierluigi Basile advances against Rares Teodor Pieleanu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it may indicate disagreement about the probabilities or differing levels of information available to each group. It’s important to note that prediction markets can sometimes become more accurate as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand within Polymarket, based on traders’ expectations for the Pieleanu vs Basile match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Rares Teodor Pieleanu and Pierluigi Basile. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available and verifiable sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the market’s direction. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in the lead-up to the event.