TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Furlanetto vs Alessandro Bellifemine
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Furlanetto vs Alessandro Bellifemine - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 12, 2026
Closed: Oct 12, 7:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Furlanetto and Alessandro Bellifemine in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Furlanetto' if Marco Furlanetto advances against Alessandro Bellifemine. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Bellifemine' if Alessandro Bellifemine advances against Marco Furlanetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Furlanetto and Alessandro Bellifemine in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Furlanetto' if Marco Furlanetto advances against Alessandro Bellifemine. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Bellifemine' if Alessandro Bellifemine advances against Marco Furlanetto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. If prediction market participants have access to unique insights, the odds here may diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's important to compare odds from various sources to make informed decisions, but remember that this market represents a distinct perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is determined by the share price relative to $1, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match between Marco Furlanetto and Alessandro Bellifemine. This includes confirmation of the winner as declared by the tournament organizers and available through official sports news sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of each player's form. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in collective belief about the likely winner of the Santa Margherita di Pula tennis match.