TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mazza and Riccardo DI VITA in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Riccardo DI VITA. This market will resolve to 'Riccardo DI VITA' if Riccardo DI VITA advances against Manuel Mazza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mazza and Riccardo DI VITA in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Riccardo DI VITA. This market will resolve to 'Riccardo DI VITA' if Riccardo DI VITA advances against Manuel Mazza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing opinions on player form, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially regarding breaking news.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mazza vs. Di Vita match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards another outcome, the price of those shares will increase while the original shares decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mazza vs. Di Vita match as declared by the governing sporting body. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures. The platform will verify the outcome against widely available and trustworthy sources to ensure an accurate and fair resolution for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player fitness or potential lineup changes are particularly likely to cause significant price movements. Furthermore, any public statements from the players themselves or their teams could also impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.