TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mazza and Ivan Ivanov in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Ivan Ivanov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Ivanov' if Ivan Ivanov advances against Manuel Mazza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manuel Mazza and Ivan Ivanov in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Mazza' if Manuel Mazza advances against Ivan Ivanov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Ivanov' if Ivan Ivanov advances against Manuel Mazza. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen here, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome or differing assessments of the inherent uncertainty. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to varying methodologies and market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Manuel Mazza and Ivan Ivanov. The platform will rely on publicly available and widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or the emergence of new information about their past performance could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to Manuel Mazza and Ivan Ivanov is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could impact this market.