TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Eric Vanshelboim
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Eric Vanshelboim - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 19, 2026
Closed: Oct 19, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Eric Vanshelboim in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Eric Vanshelboim. This market will resolve to 'Eric Vanshelboim' if Eric Vanshelboim advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Eric Vanshelboim in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Eric Vanshelboim. This market will resolve to 'Eric Vanshelboim' if Eric Vanshelboim advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket. This can lead to odds discrepancies, and potentially, opportunities for informed traders. It’s important to compare odds from various sources when making predictions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving collective intelligence of the market participants. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Eric Vanshelboim, as determined by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially declared, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and lead to price swings. Monitoring tennis news and following expert opinions will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.