TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Eero Vasa
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Eero Vasa - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 13, 2026
Closed: Oct 13, 9:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Eero Vasa in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Eero Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Eero Vasa' if Eero Vasa advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Eero Vasa in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Eero Vasa. This market will resolve to 'Eero Vasa' if Eero Vasa advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. Early in the market’s life, you might see discrepancies as information asymmetry exists. As the event approaches and more traders participate, the odds on Polymarket tend to converge with those of established sportsbooks, though differences can persist due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Eero Vasa. This includes verifying the winner of the match against credible public sources. The final result will dictate which shares pay out, and at what rate, based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes or Eero Vasa, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant price movement. Unexpected changes in their training regimens or coaching staff could also impact the market. Furthermore, analysis of their recent performance, head-to-head records, and overall form by sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and shift the odds on Polymarket.