TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Adrian Oetzbach
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Adrian Oetzbach - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 23, 2026
Closed: Oct 23, 11:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Adrian Oetzbach in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Adrian Oetzbach. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Oetzbach' if Adrian Oetzbach advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes and Adrian Oetzbach in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes' if Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes advances against Adrian Oetzbach. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Oetzbach' if Adrian Oetzbach advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own informed opinions. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could signal a perceived mispricing, potentially attracting arbitrage opportunities. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alvarez vs Oetzbach boxing match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The outcome will be determined by which fighter is declared the winner of the bout, according to the official rules and regulations governing the match. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause significant shifts in probabilities. Any changes to the fight's location, date, or rules could also impact the market. Public sentiment, as expressed through social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could create arbitrage opportunities, leading to increased volume and price adjustments in this market.