TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Berto and Andrey Chepelev in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Berto' if Lorenzo Berto advances against Andrey Chepelev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Chepelev' if Andrey Chepelev advances against Lorenzo Berto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Berto and Andrey Chepelev in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Berto' if Lorenzo Berto advances against Andrey Chepelev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Chepelev' if Andrey Chepelev advances against Lorenzo Berto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess the probability of the event, as profitable trading opportunities arise from mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Berto vs Chepelev match, as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Lorenzo Berto or Andrey Chepelev, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected tactical shifts announced before the match could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, public statements from analysts or experts offering predictions about the match’s outcome could sway the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public betting patterns observed in traditional sportsbooks might also be reflected in this market.