TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 6:18 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jadon Price and Dimitar Kisimov in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jadon Price' if Jadon Price advances against Dimitar Kisimov. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kisimov' if Dimitar Kisimov advances against Jadon Price. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jadon Price and Dimitar Kisimov in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jadon Price' if Jadon Price advances against Dimitar Kisimov. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kisimov' if Dimitar Kisimov advances against Jadon Price. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the wisdom of the crowd and are incentivized to be correct. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they differ significantly from this market. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Keep in mind that sportsbooks may include a 'vig' or commission, which isn't present in the way prediction markets function.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Price vs Kisimov match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Jadon Price and Dimitar Kisimov. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Jadon Price or Dimitar Kisimov might also impact the market, as they could affect confidence levels. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, could also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Polymarket.