TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacopo Sanna and Boris Sarritzu in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Sanna' if Jacopo Sanna advances against Boris Sarritzu. This market will resolve to 'Boris Sarritzu' if Boris Sarritzu advances against Jacopo Sanna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacopo Sanna and Boris Sarritzu in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Sanna' if Jacopo Sanna advances against Boris Sarritzu. This market will resolve to 'Boris Sarritzu' if Boris Sarritzu advances against Jacopo Sanna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market relies on participants’ independent assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. If you find a significant difference between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading based on your own research and analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment regarding the Santa Margherita di Pula match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Margherita di Pula match, as determined by the event organizers and reported by recognized sports news sources. The platform will verify the final outcome against these sources to ensure accurate settlement of the market. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive result that will trigger the market’s resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the condition or form of either Jacopo Sanna or Boris Sarritzu, such as injuries or unexpected performance changes, could shift trader sentiment. Updates on the match conditions, like weather forecasts or changes to the playing surface, might also influence the probabilities. Finally, any public statements or analysis from experts regarding the likely winner of the Santa Margherita di Pula match could trigger trading activity and move the market.