TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Giorgio Tabacco vs Matthew William Donald
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Giorgio Tabacco vs Matthew William Donald - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 17, 2026
Closed: Oct 17, 8:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgio Tabacco and Matthew William Donald in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Matthew William Donald. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Giorgio Tabacco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giorgio Tabacco and Matthew William Donald in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giorgio Tabacco' if Giorgio Tabacco advances against Matthew William Donald. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Giorgio Tabacco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in the market, creating a constantly updated forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Giorgio Tabacco and Matthew William Donald. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even weather forecasts could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations leading up to Oct 24, 2026.