TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Alfano and Arthur Bellegy in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Alfano' if Filippo Alfano advances against Arthur Bellegy. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Bellegy' if Arthur Bellegy advances against Filippo Alfano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Alfano and Arthur Bellegy in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Alfano' if Filippo Alfano advances against Arthur Bellegy. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Bellegy' if Arthur Bellegy advances against Filippo Alfano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest insights and expectations surrounding the Alfano vs Bellegy match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Filippo Alfano and Arthur Bellegy. The platform will rely on publicly available sources to determine the winner of the match and settle the market accordingly. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s established procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of either player’s chances of winning the Alfano vs Bellegy match has the potential to move the market significantly.