TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitar Kisimov and Alessandro Spadola in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kisimov' if Dimitar Kisimov advances against Alessandro Spadola. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Spadola' if Alessandro Spadola advances against Dimitar Kisimov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitar Kisimov and Alessandro Spadola in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kisimov' if Dimitar Kisimov advances against Alessandro Spadola. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Spadola' if Alessandro Spadola advances against Dimitar Kisimov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to provide truthful assessments, while sportsbooks may incorporate biases or profit margins into their pricing. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster than this market in response to breaking news or injury reports. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, especially before significant events impacting the players involved. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the Kisimov vs Spadola match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Dimitar Kisimov and Alessandro Spadola, as published by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. A strong showing by either Kisimov or Spadola in another tournament leading up to the match would likely impact the odds. Additionally, any public statements from tennis analysts or experts offering insights into the players’ form and strategy could also contribute to price movements in this market. Unexpected retirements or withdrawals are also potential catalysts.