TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between David Loccisano and Adriano Botta in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Loccisano' if David Loccisano advances against Adriano Botta. This market will resolve to 'Adriano Botta' if Adriano Botta advances against David Loccisano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between David Loccisano and Adriano Botta in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'David Loccisano' if David Loccisano advances against Adriano Botta. This market will resolve to 'Adriano Botta' if Adriano Botta advances against David Loccisano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially as an event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders participating in this market, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Loccisano vs Botta match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Loccisano vs Botta match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants, or even significant media coverage, could trigger price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Loccisano vs Botta match.