TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Giammarco Gandolfi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Giammarco Gandolfi. This market will resolve to 'Giammarco Gandolfi' if Giammarco Gandolfi advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Giammarco Gandolfi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei' if Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei advances against Giammarco Gandolfi. This market will resolve to 'Giammarco Gandolfi' if Giammarco Gandolfi advances against Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispriced opportunities before traditional bookmakers. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus informed speculation regarding the Amarandei vs Gandolfi match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Giammarco Gandolfi. The platform will verify the winner through established sports reporting sources and publicly available match data. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their holdings in the corresponding outcome shares. It's important to monitor official announcements for the definitive outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could cause traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategy could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, potentially causing a rapid shift in the market’s pricing for the Amarandei vs Gandolfi match.