TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:07 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Pilia and Giulio Stella in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Pilia' if Cristian Pilia advances against Giulio Stella. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Stella' if Giulio Stella advances against Cristian Pilia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Pilia and Giulio Stella in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Pilia' if Cristian Pilia advances against Giulio Stella. This market will resolve to 'Giulio Stella' if Giulio Stella advances against Cristian Pilia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are always up-to-date and responsive to new information regarding the Pilia vs Stella match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pilia vs Stella match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Cristian Pilia or Giulio Stella, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, recent performance in other matches, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements or public statements from either athlete or their teams could also move the market as traders react to new information.