TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Arthur Bellegy vs Lorenzo Angelini
- Polymarket
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Arthur Bellegy vs Lorenzo Angelini - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 21, 2026
Closed: Oct 21, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Bellegy and Lorenzo Angelini in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Bellegy' if Arthur Bellegy advances against Lorenzo Angelini. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Angelini' if Lorenzo Angelini advances against Arthur Bellegy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Bellegy and Lorenzo Angelini in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Bellegy' if Arthur Bellegy advances against Lorenzo Angelini. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Angelini' if Lorenzo Angelini advances against Arthur Bellegy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Bellegy vs Angelini match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Bellegy vs Angelini match's likely result. The current volume indicates strong interest in this event.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bellegy vs Angelini match as reported by the governing tennis organization. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is finalized and confirmed on Polymarket. The market's resolution will be based on the official match results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Arthur Bellegy or Lorenzo Angelini, or changes in playing conditions (like court surface) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact predictions. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price swings. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match.