TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Chang and Valerio Bracci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Valerio Bracci. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Alexander Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Chang and Valerio Bracci in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Valerio Bracci. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Bracci' if Valerio Bracci advances against Alexander Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to the latest information and collective wisdom of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula match between Alexander Chang and Valerio Bracci. The platform will rely on established sports data providers to determine the winner of the match and finalize the payouts for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Monitoring sports news, player updates, and expert analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 12, 2026.