TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Chang and Niccolo Dessi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Niccolo Dessi. This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Dessi' if Niccolo Dessi advances against Alexander Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Chang and Niccolo Dessi in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Chang' if Alexander Chang advances against Niccolo Dessi. This market will resolve to 'Niccolo Dessi' if Niccolo Dessi advances against Alexander Chang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregate belief of informed traders willing to put their capital at risk. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there’s significant public interest or debate surrounding the outcome of the Chang vs Dessi match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alexander Chang versus Niccolo Dessi match, as reported by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Chang vs Dessi match could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.