TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Younes Jenkins and Bader Idrees in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Younes Jenkins' if Younes Jenkins advances against Bader Idrees. This market will resolve to 'Bader Idrees' if Bader Idrees advances against Younes Jenkins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Younes Jenkins and Bader Idrees in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Younes Jenkins' if Younes Jenkins advances against Bader Idrees. This market will resolve to 'Bader Idrees' if Bader Idrees advances against Younes Jenkins. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise, biases, or access to information among participants in each venue. It is common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about the fighters.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment surrounding the Redbridge boxing match. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Redbridge boxing match. The winner of the fight, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard resolution procedures, but the initial official declaration will be the primary determinant. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health, or any potential injuries would likely cause price fluctuations. Public statements from either fighter or their trainers, especially concerning strategy or confidence levels, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or scheduling could introduce uncertainty and affect trading activity. Finally, any analysis from boxing experts or prominent commentators offering strong opinions on the likely outcome could influence traders and move the market closer to the Oct 26, 2026.