TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pietro Orlando Fellin and Oliver Tarvet in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Orlando Fellin' if Pietro Orlando Fellin advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Pietro Orlando Fellin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pietro Orlando Fellin and Oliver Tarvet in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pietro Orlando Fellin' if Pietro Orlando Fellin advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Pietro Orlando Fellin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see markets and sportsbooks converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the Redbridge boxing match draws nearer.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Redbridge boxing match. The winner of the bout, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for determining the verifiable outcome of events.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and influence activity. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the Redbridge boxing match could cause significant shifts in the market as traders adjust their predictions.