TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Jubb and Patrick Brady in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Patrick Brady. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Brady' if Patrick Brady advances against Paul Jubb. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paul Jubb and Patrick Brady in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paul Jubb' if Paul Jubb advances against Patrick Brady. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Brady' if Patrick Brady advances against Paul Jubb. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts based on the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments among bettors and bookmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform doesn’t use external factors to set prices; instead, it relies entirely on the supply and demand dynamics created by traders interacting within the market. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Redbridge tennis match between Paul Jubb and Patrick Brady. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available sources that report the official match results. The outcome will be determined by the official tournament results, and the market will settle accordingly, distributing funds to those who correctly predicted the winner.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match performances, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the Redbridge venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one player's style of play over another. Major upsets in other related tennis tournaments might also impact trader sentiment, leading to adjustments in probabilities. Public endorsements or analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to shifts in this market as traders react to new information.