TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Carroll and Younes Jenkins in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Carroll' if Matthew Carroll advances against Younes Jenkins. This market will resolve to 'Younes Jenkins' if Younes Jenkins advances against Matthew Carroll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Carroll and Younes Jenkins in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Carroll' if Matthew Carroll advances against Younes Jenkins. This market will resolve to 'Younes Jenkins' if Younes Jenkins advances against Matthew Carroll. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the likelihood of a particular boxer winning, the odds on Polymarket may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events, as new information emerges and market participants adjust their forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Redbridge boxing match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the winner of the fight.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant boxing authorities following the completion of the Redbridge boxing match. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Matthew Carroll or Younes Jenkins, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-fight interviews or training reports, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s venue or rules might also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity from informed traders could signal shifts in expectations and lead to price adjustments on Polymarket.