TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mason Dace and Kyle McKay in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mason Dace' if Mason Dace advances against Kyle McKay. This market will resolve to 'Kyle McKay' if Kyle McKay advances against Mason Dace. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mason Dace and Kyle McKay in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mason Dace' if Mason Dace advances against Kyle McKay. This market will resolve to 'Kyle McKay' if Kyle McKay advances against Mason Dace. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook is mispricing the event, we often see the prediction market odds diverge. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's strong disagreement among experts, but this isn’t always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure decreases the price and probability. This dynamic process creates a market-driven forecast for the Mason Dace vs Kyle McKay match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mason Dace vs Kyle McKay match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in training routines, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or strategy leading up to the match could also cause significant price movement. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, especially if they present compelling arguments for one competitor over the other. Any significant development related to the Mason Dace vs Kyle McKay match has the potential to move this market.