TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kyle McKay and Viktor Durasovic in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyle McKay' if Kyle McKay advances against Viktor Durasovic. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Durasovic' if Viktor Durasovic advances against Kyle McKay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kyle McKay and Viktor Durasovic in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyle McKay' if Kyle McKay advances against Viktor Durasovic. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Durasovic' if Viktor Durasovic advances against Kyle McKay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when significant information asymmetry exists or when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value, but remember that this market represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the probability of a particular boxer winning the Redbridge boxing match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Redbridge boxing match. The winner of the fight, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, but the initial official declaration is the primary determinant.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 28, 2026 resolution date. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected betting activity or analysis from boxing experts could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, any updates on the fighters’ physical condition or tactical approaches leading up to the Redbridge boxing match will be closely watched by traders and could impact the probabilities reflected in this market.