TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Evans and Oliver Tarvet in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Evans' if Jake Evans advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Jake Evans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Evans and Oliver Tarvet in the M25 Redbridge, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Evans' if Jake Evans advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Jake Evans. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each candidate winning. As more shares are purchased for a particular candidate, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders effectively betting on the outcome and adjusting their positions based on new information and evolving sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official election results announced by the relevant electoral authority for the Redbridge constituency. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome. The platform will then finalize the settlement process, distributing funds to those who correctly predicted the winner of the election.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major events like televised debates, candidate gaffes, or unexpected endorsements could shift voter sentiment and, consequently, trading activity. Polling data releases, particularly those showing significant swings in support for either candidate, would likely cause price adjustments. Additionally, any news related to campaign financing, local economic conditions, or national political trends could influence traders’ perceptions and move the market. Unexpected developments in the broader political landscape could also play a role in shaping the outcome of this market.