TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carl Holder and Jared Horwood in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carl Holder' if Carl Holder advances against Jared Horwood. This market will resolve to 'Jared Horwood' if Jared Horwood advances against Carl Holder. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carl Holder and Jared Horwood in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carl Holder' if Carl Holder advances against Jared Horwood. This market will resolve to 'Jared Horwood' if Jared Horwood advances against Carl Holder. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome of the Redbridge boxing match. Discrepancies can arise from differing analysis, public biases, or even late-breaking news. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, particularly in situations where public opinion shifts rapidly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Redbridge boxing match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each boxer winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to represent the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Redbridge boxing match. This includes determining the winner of the fight according to the official rules and regulations. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the established procedures of the relevant boxing authority. The final outcome will be publicly available and easily verifiable.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the health or training status of either Carl Holder or Jared Horwood would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about changes to the fight's location, rules, or referee could also move the market. Public statements from boxing analysts or experts offering their predictions could sway sentiment, as could any significant betting activity reported from traditional sportsbooks. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each boxer’s chances of winning could drive price changes.