TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Alex Michael in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Alex Michael. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michael' if Alex Michael advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Kobelt and Alex Michael in the M25 Redbridge, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Kobelt' if Alex Kobelt advances against Alex Michael. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michael' if Alex Michael advances against Alex Kobelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular competitor, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on the platform, creating a market-driven assessment of the Redbridge cycling race’s potential results. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Redbridge cycling race, determining which competitor ultimately wins. The platform will verify the results against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final odds at the time of resolution, while those who backed the losing competitor will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the race takes place. Any news regarding the physical condition of the competitors, such as injuries or illnesses, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest challenging conditions, could also impact trader sentiment. Pre-race interviews or announcements about team strategies might offer clues about each competitor's chances, leading to adjustments in the market. Unexpected developments or upsets in other races could also indirectly affect how traders perceive the probabilities in this market.