TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 3:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zichen Shao and Anton Shepp in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zichen Shao' if Zichen Shao advances against Anton Shepp. This market will resolve to 'Anton Shepp' if Anton Shepp advances against Zichen Shao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zichen Shao and Anton Shepp in the M25 Qian Daohu, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zichen Shao' if Zichen Shao advances against Anton Shepp. This market will resolve to 'Anton Shepp' if Anton Shepp advances against Zichen Shao. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for the house. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying levels of public attention. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those on Polymarket, it could signal a potential trading opportunity, or a differing assessment of the competitors' strengths.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zichen Shao vs. Anton Shepp match in the Qian Daohu competition. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved by referencing official tournament documentation and widely accepted sources of information regarding the match result. Traders should ensure they understand the parameters of the competition as defined by the organizers to accurately assess the potential outcomes of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. News regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches within the Qian Daohu competition could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any public statements from the players themselves, or analysis from respected commentators, may sway trader sentiment. Major upsets or particularly dominant performances by either Zichen Shao or Anton Shepp in preliminary rounds are likely to cause substantial movement in this market.