TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Zijiang Yang in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Zijiang Yang. This market will resolve to 'Zijiang Yang' if Zijiang Yang advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhenxiong Dong and Zijiang Yang in the M25 Qian Daohu, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhenxiong Dong' if Zhenxiong Dong advances against Zijiang Yang. This market will resolve to 'Zijiang Yang' if Zijiang Yang advances against Zhenxiong Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by the collective intelligence of traders responding to news, analysis, and their own informed opinions about the Qian Daohu match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Qian Daohu match as declared by the governing body. The market will determine which competitor, Zhenxiong Dong or Zijiang Yang, is deemed the victor according to the official rules and results. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and the shares they hold in each potential result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the form or fitness of either Zhenxiong Dong or Zijiang Yang would likely cause price movement. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as changes to the venue or rules, could also influence trading activity. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions for the Qian Daohu match could sway market sentiment, as could any significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns. These factors will all contribute to the evolving probabilities reflected in the market.